Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
0.25) 
-0.01) 
