SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Paderborn | Draw | St Pauli |
31.17% ( -0.02) | 22.85% | 45.99% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 63.94% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.11% ( -0) | 36.88% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.94% ( -0) | 59.06% ( 0) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( -0.01) | 23.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.57% ( -0.02) | 57.43% ( 0.02) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( 0.01) | 16.49% ( -0.01) |
