SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Paderborn | Draw | St Pauli |
45.62% ( 1.94) | 22.62% ( -0.33) | 31.76% ( -1.62) |
| Both teams to score 65.1% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.5% ( 0.97) | 35.5% ( -0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.46% ( 1.07) | 57.54% ( -1.07) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( 1.13) | 16.09% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.51% ( 2.02) | 45.49% ( -2.03) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( -0.43) | 22.41% ( 0.43) |
