SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 38% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.12%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | SC Paderborn |
38% ( 0.03) | 23.08% ( 0.15) | 38.93% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 65.06% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.78% ( -0.75) | 36.22% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.66% ( -0.83) | 58.34% ( 0.83) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( -0.31) | 19.55% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.54% ( -0.52) | 51.46% ( 0.52) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( -0.4) | 19.13% ( 0.4) |
