SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 53.13%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Holstein Kiel in this match.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Greuther Furth |
53.13% ( 0.08) | 22.68% ( -0.01) | 24.19% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.56% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.6% ( -0.02) | 41.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.2% ( -0.02) | 63.8% ( 0.02) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.39% ( 0.02) | 15.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.41% ( 0.03) | 44.59% ( -0.04) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% ( -0.07) | 30.61% ( 0.07) |
