SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | St Pauli |
38.71% ( -0.28) | 24.16% ( -0.01) | 37.13% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 60.87% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.36% ( 0.06) | 41.64% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.96% ( 0.06) | 64.04% ( -0.06) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( -0.11) | 21.58% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.33% ( -0.17) | 54.68% ( 0.17) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( 0.18) | 22.38% ( -0.18) |
