SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Hannover |
36.25% ( -0.49) | 23.95% ( -0.07) | 39.8% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 61.56% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.3% ( 0.29) | 40.7% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.91% ( 0.29) | 63.09% ( -0.3) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% ( -0.13) | 22.41% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.07% ( -0.19) | 55.92% ( 0.19) |
| Hannover Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% ( 0.39) | 20.65% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.77% ( 0.62) | 53.23% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Hannover |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.25% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.88% Total : 39.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 61 |
| 2 | Heidenheim | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 60 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | SC PaderbornSC Paderborn | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 50 |
| 5 | St Pauli | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 50 |
| 6 | Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 44 |
| 8 | Holstein Kiel | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 40 |
| 9 | Hannover | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SCKarlsruher | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Magdeburg | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 38 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 36 |
| 13 | Nuremberg | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 33 |
| 14 | Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 32 |
| 15 | Hansa RostockHansa Rostock | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 31 |
| 16 | Arminia Bielefeld | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 | Jahn RegensburgJahn | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 28 |
| 18 | SV SandhausenSV Sandhausen | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 25 |
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