SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Schalke 04 |
50.21% ( -0.01) | 24.17% ( -0.02) | 25.62% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.05% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.25% ( 0.12) | 46.75% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( 0.12) | 69.01% ( -0.12) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% ( 0.04) | 18.66% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.02% ( 0.07) | 49.98% ( -0.08) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( 0.09) | 32.33% ( -0.1) |
