Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
