Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
