SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Greuther Furth |
45.46% ( 0.06) | 23.89% ( 0.04) | 30.64% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 59.85% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.86% ( -0.24) | 42.13% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.46% ( -0.24) | 64.54% ( 0.23) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.24% ( -0.07) | 18.76% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.85% ( -0.12) | 50.15% ( 0.11) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% ( -0.18) | 26.32% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.54% ( -0.24) | 61.46% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Greuther Furth |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 45.46% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.64% |
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