Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
