Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.