SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 55.01%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.11%) and 1-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
55.01% ( 0.64) | 20.96% ( -0.04) | 24.03% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 64.64% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.67% ( -0.47) | 33.33% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.9% ( -0.54) | 55.1% ( 0.54) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.74% ( 0.03) | 12.26% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.01% ( 0.06) | 37.99% ( -0.06) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% ( -0.7) | 26.33% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.54% ( -0.95) | 61.46% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 55.01% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.96% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.1% Total : 24.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Pauli | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 | Hannover | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| 7 | SC PaderbornSC Paderborn | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Magdeburg | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Hertha Berlin | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Greuther Furth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Elversberg | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Hansa RostockHansa Rostock | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Nuremberg | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SCKarlsruher | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Wehen WiesbadenWiesbaden | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Schalke 04Schalke | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | VfL OsnabruckOsnabruck | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
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