SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
57.9% ( 0.53) | 21.36% ( -0.07) | 20.74% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 58.4% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.57% ( -0.29) | 39.43% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.22% ( -0.3) | 61.77% ( 0.3) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.59% ( 0.06) | 13.41% ( -0.07) |
