SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Magdeburg | 6 | -8 | 4 |
| 17 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 6 | -5 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Hansa Rostock | 6 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | St Pauli | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Nuremberg | 7 | -5 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | St Pauli |
38.11% ( 0.16) | 25.55% ( 0.14) | 36.34% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% ( -0.66) | 48.19% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( -0.61) | 70.35% ( 0.6) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( -0.21) | 24.82% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.58% ( -0.3) | 59.41% ( 0.3) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -0.48) | 25.8% ( 0.47) |
