SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Hamburger SV |
45.42% ( 0) | 22.65% ( -0.01) | 31.92% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 65.1% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.47% ( 0.04) | 35.52% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.43% ( 0.05) | 57.57% ( -0.05) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( 0.02) | 16.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.36% ( 0.04) | 45.64% ( -0.04) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( 0.02) | 22.33% ( -0.03) |
