SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
40.66% ( 0.05) | 26.15% ( -0.05) | 33.19% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.75% ( 0.21) | 51.24% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( 0.18) | 73.08% ( -0.18) |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( 0.12) | 24.85% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.54% ( 0.16) | 59.45% ( -0.16) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% ( 0.1) | 29.17% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.88% ( 0.13) | 65.11% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.65% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 61 |
| 2 | Heidenheim | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 58 | 38 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | SC PaderbornSC Paderborn | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 56 | 36 | 20 | 47 |
| 5 | St Pauli | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
| 6 | Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Holstein Kiel | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 40 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SCKarlsruher | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 39 |
| 10 | Hannover | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Greuther Furth | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Magdeburg | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 | Nuremberg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 | Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Jahn RegensburgJahn | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 28 |
| 17 | Hansa RostockHansa Rostock | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 28 |
| 18 | SV SandhausenSV Sandhausen | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 25 |
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