SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 72.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 11.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
72.08% ( 1) | 16.34% ( -0.53) | 11.57% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.06% ( 1.33) | 33.94% ( -1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.2% ( 1.49) | 55.8% ( -1.49) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.76% ( 0.55) | 8.23% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.21% ( 1.35) | 28.79% ( -1.35) |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.53% ( 0.13) | 40.46% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.92% ( 0.12) | 77.07% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.1)6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.08)6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.12% Total : 72.08% | 1-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.34% | 1-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.48% Total : 11.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | Hamburger SV | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Heidenheim | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 51 |
| 4 | St Pauli | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
| 6 | SC PaderbornSC Paderborn | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 43 |
| 7 | KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Holstein Kiel | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SCKarlsruher | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 36 |
| 10 | Hannover | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Greuther Furth | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Magdeburg | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | Nuremberg | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Arminia Bielefeld | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 29 |
| 15 | Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 29 |
| 16 | Jahn RegensburgJahn | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 27 |
| 17 | Hansa RostockHansa Rostock | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 25 |
| 18 | SV SandhausenSV Sandhausen | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 21 |
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