SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Greuther Furth |
43.83% ( 1.05) | 24.65% ( 0.1) | 31.53% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.65% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% ( -0.85) | 45.22% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( -0.82) | 67.57% ( 0.83) |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( 0.12) | 20.72% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.67% ( 0.18) | 53.33% ( -0.17) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% ( -1.13) | 27.28% ( 1.14) |
