SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Magdeburg |
46.47% ( 0.7) | 22.91% ( 0.05) | 30.61% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 63.38% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.5% ( -0.63) | 37.49% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.28% ( -0.67) | 59.71% ( 0.67) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( 0.02) | 16.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.69% ( 0.04) | 46.3% ( -0.04) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( -0.75) | 24.05% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.67% ( -1.08) | 58.33% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.43% Total : 46.47% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 64 |
| 2 | Heidenheim | 31 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 61 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 57 |
| 4 | St Pauli | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 53 |
| 5 | Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 53 |
| 6 | SC PaderbornSC Paderborn | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 51 |
| 7 | KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 45 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SCKarlsruher | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 42 |
| 9 | Hannover | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Holstein Kiel | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 40 |
| 11 | Magdeburg | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 37 |
| 13 | Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 35 |
| 14 | Nuremberg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 | Hansa RostockHansa Rostock | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Arminia Bielefeld | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 30 |
| 17 | Jahn RegensburgJahn | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 28 |
| 18 | SV SandhausenSV Sandhausen | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 28 |
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