SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Poland had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Poland |
45.12% ( 0.16) | 27.27% ( -0.09) | 27.61% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.29% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.35% ( 0.32) | 57.65% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.59% ( 0.25) | 78.41% ( -0.25) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( 0.22) | 25.47% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.7% ( 0.3) | 60.3% ( -0.3) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.45% ( 0.13) | 36.55% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.66% ( 0.13) | 73.34% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Poland |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.11% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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