SM
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Belgium | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Poland | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 4 | Wales | 5 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Poland had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Poland |
38.98% ( -2.43) | 26.19% ( 0.35) | 34.83% ( 2.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.43% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( -1.04) | 51.13% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.03% ( -0.92) | 72.97% ( 0.92) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( -1.74) | 25.7% ( 1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.39% ( -2.43) | 60.61% ( 2.43) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( 0.81) | 28.09% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.25% ( 1.02) | 63.75% ( -1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wales | Draw | Poland |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.35)3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.49)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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