Iraq 1-0 United Arab Emirates - World Cup Qualifying - Asia Third Round - Football

This is a really intriguing clash as both countries have new managers and both can still finish in Group A's playoff spot. We think it will end all square, which would end Iraq's hopes and leave UAE going into their final game against South Korea with all to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Iraq win it was 1-0 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Iraq	Draw	United Arab Emirates
25.2%	26.08%	48.72%

Both teams to score 48.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.26%

54.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.94%

76.05%

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63%

37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.21%

73.79%

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.5%

22.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.94%

56.05%

Score Analysis

Iraq 25.2%

United Arab Emirates 48.71%

Draw 26.07%

Iraq	Draw	United Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 8.28% 2-1 @ 6.14% 2-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.76% Total : 25.2%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 12.41% 0-2 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-3 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 4.58% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.71%