Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Lebanon win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for United Arab Emirates in this match.
