MX23RW : Thursday, September 22 19:32:23
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Thursday, September 22

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Argentina win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
ArgentinaDrawBrazil
35.32%24.67%40.01%
Both teams to score 58.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.75%44.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.37%66.63%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46%24.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98%59.02%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91%22.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56%55.45%
Score Analysis
    Argentina 35.32%
    Brazil 40.01%
    Draw 24.67%
ArgentinaDrawBrazil
2-1 @ 8.08%
1-0 @ 7.62%
2-0 @ 5.35%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 2.86%
3-0 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.32%
1-1 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.67%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-1 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 6.18%
1-3 @ 4.37%
0-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 3.07%
1-4 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.01%

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