Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.26%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
