Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Ladies win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 13.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Ladies win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton Ladies would win this match.
