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Women's Super League | Gameweek 9
Dec 12, 2021 at 6pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Spurs Ladies
Allen (19')
Littlejohn (45'), Allen (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Simon (29' pen.), Deman (68')
Deman (45'), Clemaron (62')

We said: Aston Villa Women 0-1 Tottenham Hotspur Ladies

Tottenham will be confident about keeping a clean sheet on Sunday as Villa have not got a high-scoring record in the division this season, and that will mean that the visitors only need one goal to win the match. That suits Skinner's side having picked up many of their points this season by keeping clean sheets, and they will not want Brighton to open up a bigger gap to third spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur Ladies would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
21.52%23.97%54.51%
Both teams to score 50.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15%49.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15%71.85%
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.29%37.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52%74.48%
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82%18.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.83%49.17%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 21.52%
    Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 54.51%
    Draw 23.96%
Aston Villa WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
1-0 @ 6.69%
2-1 @ 5.56%
2-0 @ 3.26%
3-1 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 1.54%
3-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 21.52%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 11.68%
0-2 @ 9.96%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-3 @ 5.66%
1-3 @ 5.52%
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-4 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 2.35%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 54.51%

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