Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Ladies win with a probability of 56.7%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Ladies win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton Ladies would win this match.
