Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 92.76%. A draw had a probability of 5.6% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 1.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.77%) and 0-2 (11.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.63%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (0.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
