Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 89.45%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 3.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 0-4 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.52%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (1.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
