Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
