Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.06) 
