Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bala Town in this match.
