Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Flint Town United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Newtown
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 33 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | Newtown AFC | 32 | 15 | 51 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 32 | 6 | 49 |
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 32 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Flint Town United | 33 | -2 | 43 |
| 7 | Cardiff MU | 33 | -4 | 42 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 48.15% | 24.33% | 27.52% |
| Both teams to score 56.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% | 45.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% | 68.28% |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% | 19.18% |
