Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
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