Jan 10, 2023 at 8pm UK at Park Avenue Ground
Aberystwyth
0 - 3
Pen-y-Bont
Litchfield (48'), Thorn (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Reffell (24'), Georgievsky (38'), Rimmer (64' og.)
Evans (77'), Georgievsky (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Pen-y-Bont.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
20.24% ( 0.15) | 22.52% ( 0.01) | 57.23% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.63% ( 0.2) |
| 54.62% ( 0.14) | 45.37% ( -0.14) |
| 32.29% ( 0.14) | 67.71% ( -0.14) |
| 63.55% ( 0.24) | 36.45% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.76% ( 0.24) | 73.24% ( -0.24) |
| 84.39% ( -0.01) | 15.61% ( 0.01) |
