Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Connah's Quay
3 - 0
Aberystwyth
Franklin (7'), Wilde (90', 90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Aberystwyth Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 77.94%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
77.94% ( 0.48) | 14.75% ( -0.26) | 7.31% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 41.97% ( -0.18) |
| 59.28% ( 0.4) | 40.72% ( -0.4) |
| 36.9% ( 0.4) | 63.1% ( -0.41) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| 91.44% ( 0.2) | 8.56% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.4% ( 0.5) | 29.6% ( -0.5) |
| 45.9% ( -0.3) | 54.1% ( 0.3) |
