Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
