Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
