Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
