Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
