Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
