Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
