Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plaza Colonia in this match.
