Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%).
