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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2021 at 3pm UK
Donbass Arena
Shakhtar
6 - 1
Luhansk
Fernando (11', 36'), Pedrinho (28'), Tete (71', 90+2'), Sikan (80')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Hladkyy (63')
Kazakov (13'), Sayyadmanesh (90+1')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Zorya Luhansk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawZorya Luhansk
47.59%24.94%27.46%
Both teams to score 54.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33%48.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22%70.77%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51%20.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03%52.96%
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12%31.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67%68.32%
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 47.59%
    Zorya Luhansk 27.46%
    Draw 24.94%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawZorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 47.59%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 27.46%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar27206162194366
2Dnipro-1Dnipro-128204460243664
3Zorya LuhanskLuhansk27194459283161
4Dynamo Kiev27165644242053
5FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya28101354237543
6Vorskla PoltavaVorskla28116113436-239
7Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi27105122229-735
8Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka2796122231-933
9Metalist Kharkiv2761292239-1730
10Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets2778123037-729
11Minai2778122029-929
12Veres2877143442-828
13Rukh Lviv2769122836-827
14Inhulets2776142033-1327
15Metal Kharkiv2757152651-2522
16FC LvivLviv2734201848-3013
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