SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
37.39% ( 0.23) | 26.69% ( 0.06) | 35.91% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.87% ( -0.27) | 53.13% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( -0.23) | 74.7% ( 0.23) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( 0) | 27.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.96% ( 0) | 63.03% ( -0.01) |
| Rukh Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( -0.31) | 28.39% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.85% ( -0.39) | 64.14% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
| 14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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