SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Lviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rukh Lviv | Draw | Inhulets |
36.91% ( 0.11) | 27.17% ( -0.05) | 35.92% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.36% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.94% ( 0.21) | 55.06% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.68% ( 0.17) | 76.32% ( -0.17) |
| Rukh Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( 0.17) | 28.73% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.43% ( 0.21) | 64.56% ( -0.21) |
| Inhulets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( 0.07) | 29.33% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.69% ( 0.08) | 65.31% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rukh Lviv | Draw | Inhulets |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.91% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
| 14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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